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Press Conference - Cambodia First Collective Investment Scheme Fund
Press Release Banjaran Asset Management (Cambodia) PLC (“BAMC”) has successfully obtained approval from the Securities and Exchange Regulator of Cambodia (“SERC”) to launch the BAMC Asia Equity Fund (“BAEF”) in the Kingdom of Cambodia. BAEF is the first retail fund to launch for sale in the Kingdom which the public will be able to invest in. BAEF is an investment fund investing in a diversified portfolio of companies listed on major stock exchanges across Asia Pacific Ex-Japan. The fund targets to provide the benefits of investing in Asia, which economists globally see as the premier growth region in the coming years. The fund’s tagline is “The Rise of Asia”. Being the first SERC-approved retail fund to launch in Cambodia, BAMC will give Cambodian investors, who to date have narrowly relied on bank deposits to grow their wealth, an opportunity to diversify their investments. In addition, Cambodians would no longer need to travel to foreign financial centers to access investment opportunities outside the Kingdom. BAEF is the first of a series of funds that BAMC plans to bring to the investing public in Cambodia. To make the fund accessible to all investors, BAMC has set the minimum investment amount at just US$500. BAMC is the fund manager of BAEF with Banjaran Asset Management Pte Ltd (“BAMPL”) of Singapore as the investment advisor. Stronghold Trustee Co., Ltd (“ST”) is the trustee of the fund. Her Excellency Chan Theany (“HE Theany”), Chairwoman of BAMC said: “We are honored and happy to be the first fund management company in Cambodia to successfully launch a SERC-approved public collective investment fund. I am proud to report that in the process of obtaining the various licenses and approvals, we have trained a team of local Cambodians to take on various roles in the areas of asset management. For the launch of BAEF, we have brought in international fund management expertise and its best governance practices. We hope this will set a high standard for the asset management industry going forward.” Mr. Aaron Ng (“Aaron”), CEO of BAMPL said: “BAMPL is proud to be the investment advisor to BAEF, Cambodia’s first approved public investment fund. We have extended our experiences, international practices, and best governance practices to BAMC. We offer our best wishes to BAMC on this launch.” About BAMC Asia Equity Fund (“BAEF”) The BAEF is an investment fund that invests in stocks listed in major stock exchanges in Asia Pacific Ex-Japan. It aims to deliver an expected return of 7-10%* per annum over the medium to long term. The Fund is expected to be diversified with at least 30 stocks across Asia (eg. Singapore, Hong Kong/China, Australia, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines, etc.) and across various sectors (eg. Banking, Property, Industrials, Consumer, Telecoms, Technology, etc.). The Fund is domiciled in the Kingdom of Cambodia and is USD-denominated. The Fund will accept subscriptions and redemptions daily and the daily unit price of the Fund will be available on various media channels. *- Investment return is not guaranteed. About Banjaran Asset Management (Cambodia) PLC (“BAMC”) BAMC was incorporated in the Kingdom of Cambodia in 2022 and holds a fund management license issued by the SERC to establish and manage a public funds of collective investment scheme. BAMC is a joint venture between Banjaran Holdings Pte Ltd from Singapore, Best Magnet Capital Co., Ltd, and Primo Plus Co., Ltd. Banjaran Holdings and BAMPL are related companies. About Stronghold Trustee Co., Ltd (“ST”) ST is the first Full-Licensed Trustee licensed by the Securities and Exchange Regulator of Cambodia and registered with the Trust Regulator. It specializes in trust services, including Collective Investment Scheme and Personal and Commercial trusts tailored to clients’ needs. ST is part of the Stronghold Group of Companies and has its roots in Taiwan. About Banjaran Asset Management Pte Ltd (“BAMPL”) BAMPL was incorporated in Singapore in 2014 and currently holds a Capital Market Services license in fund management issued by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. BAMPL’s main business activities are in investment management and its funds are distributed through private banks and investment banks across Asia and the UK. BAMPL is also a leading provider of multifamily office services in Singapore. BAMPL’s assets under management are approximately US$ 5 billion (as of 30 June 2023) in a variety of asset classes. These include private and listed equities, private and listed debts, alternative investments, ESG-focused investments, and real estate investments. More News EAC News Kampuchea Thmey Fresh News Asia TNAOT Jia Hua Daily Cambodia Express News Khmer Times Phnom Penh Post Sabay News Kiri Post Securities and Exchange Regulator of Cambodia (SERC) Cambodia Investment Review BTV News
SERC Approves BAMC Asia Equity Fund for Public Offering
Phnom Penh, Cambodia – The Securities and Exchange Regulator of Cambodia (SERC) has officially granted Decision No. 285 SERC/SSR for the establishment of the “មូលបត្រកម្មសិទ្ធិអាស៊ី ប៊ីអេអឹមស៊ី - BAMC Asia Equity Fund” as part of the Collective Investment Scheme. This landmark decision also includes the registration of the Disclosure Document (Prospectus) for the public offering of fund units managed by Banjaran Asset Management (Cambodia) Plc. The BAMC Asia Equity Fund marks a significant advancement in Cambodia's financial landscape, providing local and international investors with diverse investment opportunities. This fund is designed to enhance access to capital markets and promote economic growth in the region. Banjaran Asset Management (Cambodia) Plc is committed to upholding the highest standards of fund management and governance practices. With the approval of the BAMC Asia Equity Fund, the company aims to contribute positively to the development of Cambodia’s capital markets and provide investors with innovative investment solutions. The launch of the BAMC Asia Equity Fund is expected to set new benchmarks for collective investment schemes in the Kingdom, fostering a more vibrant and inclusive financial services sector. Further updates regarding the fund's public offering will be announced soon.
Investment Education Series related to Collective Investment Scheme (Part One)
Investing in Legitimate Investment Products According to published figures by the World Bank, Cambodia's GDP per capita has risen from US$783 (2010) to US$1,625 (2021). Statista.com projected that its GDP will continue to grow to approximately US$2,656 by 2028. The growth in the middle income and increase in wealth of the average Cambodian will naturally bring about the need for investing. However, recently we have also seen a spike in cases of reported fraudulent and failed investment schemes, as well as some which are outright scams. When investing, investors are traditionally enticed by high returns and a sense of familiarity. Very often they ignore what is perhaps the most important factor when investing, which are the risk factors. Risk comes in many forms, to name a few: Counterparty Risk Market Risk Currency Risk Liquidity Risk Regulatory Risk Specific Risk Environmental Risk Bankruptcy Risk Operational Risk Based on past data, it is evident that there is a direct relationship between risk and return. The higher the return from a particular investment, the risk becomes higher. We can illustrate this in a simple graph. Generally, to mitigate the risk, investments should be made on or above the line. Furthermore, investors should select legitimate investment products. ❖ Legitimate investment products (Regulated) When investing, investors should consider whether the investment scheme is regulated, unregulated, or an outright scam. Regulated investment products are generally subject to onerous supervision by the country’s regulators. This makes regulated investment products safer choices compared to the others. A regulated investment product will generally have these features: Approval from the regulator Managed by a licensed fund manager Proper legal documentation and disclosures and will normally be audited by an audit firm accredited by the regulator. Therefore, the risk of a regulated investment scheme being a fraud is very low. ❖ The update of the Cambodia Collective Investment Scheme Market Acknowledging the potential of the collective investment scheme market for economic growth, the Securities and Exchange Regulator of Cambodia (SERC), a sole regulator to regulate, supervise, and develop the securities market in Cambodia has developed the infrastructure to launch this market through the adoption of the Prakas to regulate this market. As a result, on May 29, 2018, SERC adopted the Prakas on “Licensing and Supervision of Collective Investment Scheme Business” to allow companies to apply for a license or approval from the SERC to conduct the Collective Investment Scheme Business. As of Q3 2023, SERC has provided license/approval to 16 fund management companies, 8 trustees, 5 fund distribution companies, and 3 fund administrators. In addition, on July 20, 2023, SERC also adopted the Prakas on “The Issuance of Fund Unit of Collective Investment Scheme”. This Prakas determines the condition and requirement to issue fund units of the collective investment scheme and the post-issuance operation to ensure the orderliness, accountability, and transparency in the market and, most importantly to protect all market stakeholders including investors. ❖ Unregulated Investment Products Unregulated investment schemes are generally operating companies offering high returns and are only governed by the basic corporate regulations. Scams and unregulated investment schemes are often difficult to differentiate. These investment schemes generally have the following features: The promise of unusually high returns (too good to be true because the risk may be extremely high), Poor documentation (hidden risks and hidden costs are not disclosed), Managed by a small team of individuals (usually with exaggerated backgrounds), No proper third-party verification (not audited – all done by one company). Most importantly, there are no regulators to supervise the legitimacy of the investment schemes. ❖ Scams or Fraudulent Investment Schemes These are recent cases of unregulated investment schemes that have gone bad in Cambodia: The International Forex Trading case of 2019, in which the scheme was operated by a small group of individuals making promises of very high returns. There were no checks and balances and the company was in charge of both making the investment as well as issuing cheques to investors. Such unregulated companies, when unchecked by an independent third party can make false and exaggerated claims. In the Empire Big Capital Limited and Investment Consultant Association case of 2017, again this scheme was operated by a small group of individuals making promises of very high returns (10% per month). Similar to the previous case, there were no checks and balances, the company basically did everything internally. There were also reports of land investment schemes that have turned sour and were alleged to be fraudulent. Some of these operators have been arrested and charged, and some jailed. The alleged land investment scheme always promised high returns. There is a lack of transparency in how the funds were invested and with regard to the progress of the projects and their cashflows. It is important to note that there is a difference between an investment scheme going bad and it being an investment scam. All investments have to take risks to generate returns. There are many examples of investments going bad due to poor market conditions and other reasons. Scams happen when there is no real intent to channel money collected from investors into the stated investment. Instead, profits are fictitiously generated by using money from new investors to pay previous investors. This is known as a Ponzi scheme. Scam operators are in all instances not approved by regulators. ❖ Conclusion In seeking legitimate investments, investors should consider the following: Is the company regulated by the relevant authorities? Is the product approved by the relevant authorities? Does the investment reasonably justify the return that is promised? Does the collective investment scheme have basic checks and balances, like independent lawyers, auditors, and other professionals? Lastly, trust your instincts. If an investment sounds too good to be true, you should investigate further and ask more questions. In selecting a legitimate investment that fits your risk profile, the investment should diversify your risk and at the same time help you grow your wealth over time. An article from the Securities & Exchange Regulator of Cambodia (SERC)
Banjaran Asset Management Submits BAMC Asia Equity Fund for Collective Investment Scheme Approval to SERC
Phnom Penh, Cambodia – Banjaran Asset Management (Cambodia) Plc. has taken a significant step forward in the financial sector by submitting the application for its BAMC Asia Equity Fund for fund unit offering approval. The submission falls under Cambodia's Collective Investment Scheme (CIS) regulatory framework, reflecting the company's commitment to providing robust investment opportunities in the region. The inspection of the application was conducted by Her Excellency Thay Sokphalline, Director of the Securities Issuance Department, along with a team of officials from the Securities and Exchange Regulator of Cambodia (SERC). The comprehensive review marks an important milestone for the BAMC Asia Equity Fund, which aims to broaden access to diverse investment portfolios, catering to the growing demand for equity investment solutions in Asia. The BAMC Asia Equity Fund represents a pioneering effort in Cambodia’s capital market landscape. Banjaran Asset Management remains confident that this offering will contribute to the country’s economic growth by attracting both domestic and international investors. With a strategic focus on high-growth sectors across the Asia region, the fund is poised to deliver long-term returns for investors while strengthening Cambodia’s position in the global financial market. Banjaran Asset Management (Cambodia) Plc. continues to work closely with regulatory bodies to ensure compliance with all legal and financial guidelines. Pending approval, the BAMC Asia Equity Fund will be the first of its kind in the Cambodian market, marking a significant achievement in the country's financial sector development. For further updates and details, please stay tuned for official announcements from Banjaran Asset Management and the Securities and Exchange Regulator of Cambodia (SERC).
Firechat on The Preparedness, Opportunities, and Potential of the Collective Investment Scheme (CIS) Business
Phnom Penh, Cambodia – Mr. Christopher Wong, Investment Director of Banjaran Asset Management (Cambodia) PLC, participated in a dynamic discussion titled “Firechat on The Preparedness, Opportunities, and Potential of the Collective Investment Scheme (CIS).” The event was moderated by H.E. Dr. Vin Pheakdey, Deputy Director General of the Securities and Exchange Regulator of Cambodia (SERC). The discussion focused on the evolving landscape of collective investment schemes in Cambodia, emphasizing the importance of regulatory preparedness and the potential for economic growth through these investment vehicles. Wong shared his expertise on the opportunities that CIS presents for both local and international investors, highlighting its role in enhancing capital access and promoting financial inclusion in the country. The event also provided a platform for industry stakeholders to engage in dialogue about the challenges and opportunities within the investment sector. Wong's insights contributed to a deeper understanding of how collective investment schemes can be leveraged to strengthen Cambodia's financial markets. As the country continues to develop its capital markets, such discussions are crucial for fostering collaboration among regulators, investors, and industry leaders. Banjaran Asset Management (Cambodia) remains committed to participating in initiatives that promote a robust investment environment and advance the nation’s financial services sector. Firechat on The Preparedness, Opportunities, and Potential of the Collective Investment Scheme (CIS) Business.
Banjaran Asset Management (Cambodia) Participates in Green Cleaning Event
Koh Pich, Phnom Penh – Banjaran Asset Management (Cambodia) PLC proudly participated in a Green Cleaning Event held on Diamond Island, reinforcing its commitment to environmental protection and sustainability. The event aimed to raise awareness about the importance of maintaining clean and green spaces while encouraging community involvement in environmental initiatives. During the event, employees from Banjaran Asset Management joined local volunteers and community members in various cleaning activities, including litter collection and environmental education sessions. This hands-on approach not only contributed to the beautification of Diamond Island but also served to educate participants about the principles of environmental stewardship and the necessity of preserving natural resources for future generations. “We believe that corporate responsibility extends beyond financial success; it includes being active stewards of our environment. By taking part in events like this, we hope to inspire others in the business community to contribute to a cleaner and greener Cambodia.” Ben Lee, Managing Director of Banjaran Asset Management (Cambodia), expressed pride in the company’s participation. The Green Cleaning Event showcased the importance of collective efforts in promoting sustainability, with various organizations and local government representatives coming together to set a positive example. Banjaran Asset Management’s involvement highlights its dedication to not only advancing financial services but also fostering a culture of environmental consciousness within the Kingdom. As part of its broader corporate social responsibility strategy, Banjaran Asset Management (Cambodia) aims to continue engaging in initiatives that benefit both the community and the environment, further establishing itself as a responsible leader in Cambodia’s financial sector.
Banjaran Asset Management (Cambodia) and Stronghold Trustee Collaborate on Market-Leading Public Investment Fund
Phnom Penh - A significant signing ceremony took place between Banjaran Asset Management (Cambodia) PLC and Stronghold Trustee Co., Ltd. The event, presided over by H.E. SOU Socheat, Director General of the Securities and Exchange Regulator of Cambodia (SERC), alongside other key officials, marked the collaboration for launching Cambodia’s first public fund and collective investment scheme. Pending approval from the SERC, this initiative will be a landmark achievement in the Kingdom’s financial services sector, providing retail investors with alternative investment options beyond traditional bank deposits. The fund will be managed by Banjaran Asset Management (Cambodia), with Stronghold Trustee serving as the trustee and Singapore-based Banjaran Asset Management as the investment adviser. This collaboration will offer Cambodian investors access to international markets without the need to travel to financial centers like Hong Kong and Singapore. Hans Chen, CEO of Stronghold, expressed excitement for the launch, emphasizing the professionalism and expertise that Stronghold brings to the initiative. Ben Lee, Managing Director of Banjaran Asset Management (Cambodia), highlighted the incorporation of international fund management practices and the training provided to local professionals in the fund management ecosystem. Established in 2022, Banjaran Asset Management (Cambodia) operates under a fund management license issued by the SERC, as part of a joint venture with Banjaran Holdings Pte Ltd, Best Magnet Capital Co., Ltd, and Primo Plus Co., Ltd. Stronghold Trustee, the first licensed trustee under the Cambodian Trust Law, specializes in trust services tailored to client needs. With approximately $5 billion in assets under management, Banjaran Asset Management Pte Ltd (BAMPL) in Singapore further solidifies its expertise in investment management, offering a variety of asset classes. The launch of this public investment fund represents a pivotal step in Cambodia’s financial landscape, providing new wealth growth opportunities for local investors and setting the stage for future advancements in the sector. More News Cambodia Investment Review Securities and Exchange Regulator of Cambodia Trust Regulator
SERC Welcomes Singapore’s Banjaran Asset Management for Strategic Talks on Cambodia’s Securities Sector
04 May 2022, Phnom Penh In a notable demonstration of Cambodia's ongoing commitment to fostering the growth and modernization of its capital markets, His Excellency Sou Socheat , Delegate of the Royal Government in charge as Director General of the Securities and Exchange Regulator of Cambodia (SERC), together with His Excellency Dr. Vin Pheakdey , Deputy Director General of SERC, officially welcomed the executive leadership team from Banjaran Asset Management Pte Ltd (BAMPL), a Singapore-based asset management firm, during their visit to the Kingdom of Cambodia in May 04 2022. The visiting delegation was led by Mr. Aaron Ng , BAMPL CEO, and Mr. Low Hon-Yu Low , BAMPL Executive Director. The meeting served as a crucial platform to discuss strategic cooperation and potential business opportunities within Cambodia's developing securities sector. H.E. Sou Socheat provided a comprehensive overview of Cambodia's capital market, detailing its regulatory frameworks, investment climate, and institutional infrastructure. He underscored the government’s ongoing reforms aimed at ensuring transparency, protecting investors, and achieving international compliance, all designed to position Cambodia as an attractive emerging market. Discussions also focused on Cambodia's initiatives to deepen its market by diversifying financial instruments and encouraging participation from both domestic and international players. BAMPL expressed significant interest in exploring investment and operational opportunities in Cambodia, aligning with their broader Asia-Pacific strategy to expand their presence and offer diversified market access to investors. H.E. Dr. Vin Pheakdey further emphasized the importance of regulatory compliance, robust risk management standards, and continuous investor education. He assured BAMPL of SERC's support in facilitating responsible market entry for reputable foreign institutions. The BAMPL team shared insights into their business model, regional experiences, and their vision for contributing to Cambodia's capital markets. Their proposed business plan, including fund management and distribution services, were reviewed in detail. H.E. Sou Socheat concluded the meeting by providing constructive feedback and outlining the key regulatory requirements for licensing and operational approval. He offered practical guidance on navigating the legal and procedural aspects of establishing a presence in Cambodia’s securities sector, reaffirming SERC’s openness to engaging with serious investors and partners who align with Cambodia’s financial development goals. This meeting underscored Cambodia’s proactive efforts to foster a dynamic, inclusive, and internationally connected capital market, signaling its readiness for greater integration into the broader Asia-Pacific financial ecosystem. This paves the way for increased foreign investment, product innovation, and accelerated long-term economic growth beneficial to both local and global investors.
Market Outlook
2026 August Market Outlook: Navigating Volatility
Concerns around the durability of AI-related capital expenditure and intensifying competition triggered a sharp sector sell-off after a mid-July peak. Investor sentiment turned more discerning on the back of earnings season, and questions arose regarding how sustainable the AI investment pace is without eating into cash generation. Capital rotated out of semiconductors and into energy, financials and value stocks, shifting to markets and names seen as less exposed to a single-theme correction. Layered on top was renewed Middle East escalation and its effect on rates expectations. Brent crude spiked back above $100/barrel intermittently after the US reinstated a naval blockade on Iran and announced plans to impose a levy on cargo transiting Hormuz, although the levy was never implemented. This revived inflation concerns and caused markets to price a reduced likelihood of further Fed easing. Elevated US bond yields further weighed on stocks. Looking ahead, renewed conflict or another AI-related pullback could swiftly unwind recent sentiment gains and force a repricing of both rates and earnings expectations. Against this backdrop, we continue to favour a diversified, bottom-up approach that balances exposure to structural AI and technology themes with quality, less crowded names to weather through volatility.
2026 July Market Outlook: Navigating Crosscurrents
Central banks broadly maintained a data-dependent stance through the period and remained watchful even as global energy-driven inflation eased. The Federal Reserve reaffirmed its commitment to price stability even as growth prospects softened, while the European Central Bank similarly balanced improving headline inflation against still-elevated services prices. Closer to home, the Monetary Authority of Singapore raised its 2026 core inflation forecast on concerns that persistent price pressures could dampen household spending. The Hormuz disruption has driven inflation fears that outweigh traditional safe-haven demand. Gold and silver have moved in an unusual, counterintuitive pattern, falling rather than rallying as fighting escalated. In equities, investor sentiment shifted markedly as the AI-led rally that dominated the first half of the year gave way to a bout of volatility, prompting some rotation into value and cyclicals. Asian equities showed sharp dispersion rather than uniform resilience. In July 2026, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng emerged as the standout performer on continued strength in Chinese technology and AI names, while South Korea’s Kospi and Japan’s Nikkei slipped from June’s rebound as the memory-chip optimism and AI trade cooled. Looking ahead, markets remain caught between two competing narratives, a genuine easing of geopolitical and energy-driven inflation pressure, against the risk of renewed hostilities or a resurgence in AI-related volatility, which could quickly reverse recent gains in sentiment and reprice rate expectations. Against this backdrop, we continue to favour a diversified, bottom-up approach that balances exposure to structural AI and technology themes with quality, less crowded names to weather through volatility.
2026 June Market Outlook: From AI-Led Momentum to Persistent Uncertainty—A Disciplined Path Forward
Stronger than expected inflation in the US led newly installed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh to reinforce expectations that any rate cut is more likely in late 2026 or into 2027. Despite this hawkish view, US equities pushed to fresh highs, led by technology stocks. This period also saw Space Exploration Technologies Corp.’s (“SpaceX”) record-setting initial public offering, becoming a focal point for risk appetite and growth sentiment, which further amplified market enthusiasm. In the near term, the success of the SpaceX listing is likely to add further liquidity into space, artificial intelligence (“AI”) infrastructure and adjacent sectors. Investor sentiment remains heavily concentrated in AI-related and technology names, and some investors view the Asian market as a way to increase exposure at more attractive valuations than US technology leaders. Strong momentum in Asia is led by Korea, Taiwan and Japan, which play a central role in the AI and memory chip supply chain. On the other hand, China continues to lag even with incremental policy support. In other key markets, UK equities underperformed their peers, and Eurozone technology stocks performed moderately amid weak macroeconomic data, where the pullback in oil prices eased some inflationary pressure. Markets remain highly sensitive to developments in the Strait of Hormuz, where disruptions and the current partial normalisation of shipping through the strait weigh on energy prices and inflation expectations. Against this backdrop, maintaining well-diversified exposure across geographies and themes remains important. We continue to be highly selective in stock selection, adhering to a disciplined, bottom-up approach to portfolio construction that prioritises quality and resilience to macroeconomic uncertainty.
2026 May Market Outlook: From Record Highs to Rising Uncertainty—A Selective Path Forward
Major indices have reached new highs since the March dip. Strong corporate earnings have reinforced investor confidence and sustained the ongoing risk-on rotation into AI-related stocks. The technology sector now represents a larger share on the MSCI Emerging Markets Index than the S&P 500, underscoring the central role of Taiwan and South Korea in the AI supply chain. With inflation still elevated and growth looking uneven across regions, central banks are balancing financial stability and energy-driven price pressures. Expectations for rate cuts have been pushed out or replaced by further tightening of monetary policy. The new Federal Reserve Chair, Kevin Warsh, known to favour rate cuts, faces inflationary pressures in the US economy that work against the dovish narrative, making rate cuts unlikely. Other central banks, such as the Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank have kept its policy unchanged, but with upward revisions to inflation forecasts, investors expect rate hikes this year. Though markets have appeared resilient to geopolitical shocks, the continuation of the Strait of Hormuz blockage can dampen economic activity through supply chain disruption and entrenching inflationary pressures. Against this backdrop, maintaining well-diversified exposure across geographies and themes remains important. We continue to be highly selective in stock selection, adhering to a disciplined, bottom-up approach to portfolio construction that prioritises quality and resilience to macro uncertainty.
2026 April Market Outlook: From Conflict Shock to Market Strength — What’s Driving the Recovery
Major indices across the countries tumbled in March but abruptly spiked in April upon the announcement of US-Iran peace talks, though the US Navy continues its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Record highs in the tech-heavy S&P 500 and strong US corporate earnings reaffirm the market’s resilience throughout the conflict, particularly for demand in technology. Similarly, Asian markets tracked US gains and rallied in April; South Korea’s Kospi and Japan’s Nikkei were also driven by technology related optimism and de-escalation relief. Singapore’s central bank tightened monetary policy while the Bank of Japan cooled rate hike expectations. The situation in China remains mixed with continued weak domestic demand and an ongoing property sector drag, while local banks have outpaced broader market since the war broke out. As markets rebounded and risk sentiment improved in April, we remain highly selective in stock selection while diversifying across markets, maintaining our disciplined, bottom-up approach to portfolio construction.
2026 March Market Outlook: Markets Under Pressure as Geopolitical Tensions Rise
The US-Israel war with Iran has created a delicate balancing act between investing for resilient growth and managing geopolitical volatility. While a "soft landing" remains the baseline for many advanced economies, the landscape has grown more complex following the late-February shocks. On interest rate watch, the US Fed is expected to maintain a "higher-for-longer" stance to counter inflationary pressures from rising energy cost, and to a lesser extent the new 15% global tariffs. Markets are pricing in a sustained "war premium" in energy. With Brent crude hovering near $100, any further escalation in the Middle East could reignite global supply-side inflation, which may lead to extended high-interest-rate environment and hence leading to a sharp global economic slowdown. In China, it has largely stayed away from the Middle East war though it has urged US and Israel to de-escalate and stop its aggression against its ally, Iran. China is amongst the most affected countries by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, though Iran has allowed some Chinese-flagged oil tankers to transit through. Meanwhile, all eyes are on the implementation of the 15th Five-Year Plan. Success hinges on whether Beijing’s "New Quality Productive Forces" can offset the structural drag of its property sector. After the February technology sector correction and in this current environment of heightened volatility, we remain highly selective in the technology sector while diversifying across markets, maintaining our disciplined, bottom-up approach to portfolio construction.